Showing posts with label future. Show all posts
Showing posts with label future. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 31, 2008

Future Industry Extinction





I found this article both sad and compelling. What cultural and technological and behavioral trends are expected to kick what have been fixtures of our consumer landscape to the curb?
Last year Kodak stopped making 35mm slide projectors and Polaroid recently made its last camera.
When I first got a home Internet connection in 1995, I figured that newspapers, or at least the classified section, would be dead before 2000. Obviously it didn't happen that fast but now it is starting. The Detroit Free Press and Detroit News recently cut their deliveries to 3 days a week and are asking customers to go to their websites. PC Magazine recently announced that it will be going to an online-only format. Not only is it incredibly cheaper to publish online but it is much more environmentally friendly. As laptops get smaller and more ergonomically friendly and printing and labor costs become higher, along with environmental pressures, will we start to see this with all magazines and more books?
Other than these 10 industries listed in this article, what else could be GONE by 2017? Maybe... the gas station? Quick-lube oil change depots? Libraries? (Imagine the entire Library of Congress online?) The coal industry? If Lester Brown is right... Civilization?
(Hi, Future Steve... I'll bet you're cracking up at this one right now.)

Tuesday, November 20, 2007

Futurist Quotes

"The phonograph is not of any commercial value." - Thomas Edison, 1880

"Everything that can be invented has been invented." -Charles Duell, Commissioner, US Office of Patents, 1899

"There is not the slightest indication that nuclear energy will ever be obtainable. It would mean that the atom would have to be shattered at will." - Albert Einstein, 1932

"Man will not fly for 50 years." - Wilbur Wright, 1903

"I think there is a world market for about five computers." -Thomas Watson, founder of IBM, 1958

"The Japanese auto industry isn't likely to carve out a big slice of the U.S. market for itself." - Business Week, 1968

"640K ought to be enough for anybody." - Bill Gates, 1981

What current technologies are being treated like this?
What is coming that is going to change everything?

Reading these quotes changes the way I listen to science and technology reporting.